{"id":46470,"date":"2017-09-07T12:12:25","date_gmt":"2017-09-07T17:12:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/horizonsmagazine.com\/blog\/?p=46470"},"modified":"2017-09-12T05:09:17","modified_gmt":"2017-09-12T10:09:17","slug":"heres-what-the-worlds-most-accurate-weather-model-predicts-for-irma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/horizonsmagazine.com\/blog\/heres-what-the-worlds-most-accurate-weather-model-predicts-for-irma\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s what the world\u2019s most accurate weather model predicts for Irma\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Here\u2019s what “the world\u2019s most accurate weather model” predicts for Irma. In recent years, the European\u00a0Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts has the best forecast model in the world, often generating the best forecasts for hurricane tracks. In some cases, during Hurricane Harvey, it even\u00a0exceeded\u00a0the skill of human forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. \u00a0https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/science\/2017\/09\/heres-what-the-worlds-most-accurate-weather-model-predicts-for-irma<\/a>\/ \u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>\n

This forecast system has superior hardware to run its calculations. But more importantly, it has a method by which it better assimilates real-world data\u2014observations from weather networks around the world, atmospheric soundings, reconnaissance aircraft, and much more\u2014into its calculations.<\/p>\n

The National Hurricane Center National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is still a fave go to for info and no hype\u00a0http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/<\/a><\/p>\n

I’m hopeful.<\/p>\n

UPDATE 9-7-17 at 3:07pm\u00a0https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/science\/2017\/09\/destination-florida-how-confident-we-can-be-in-hurricane-irmas-track\/<\/a><\/p>\n

RELATED:\u00a0After what Hurricane Irma did to the Caribbean, we\u2019ll be fine<\/a>
\nMandatory evacuation, surviving Hurricane Frances, being the Vision Keeper<\/a>
\nBe a vision keeper during the hurricanes<\/a>
\nThe phases of the moon drive hurricane behavior<\/a>
\nDon\u2019t add to the fear about hurricanes<\/a>
\nMild winter = mild hurricane season<\/a>
\nRemember an active hurricane season doesn\u2019t mean any will make landfall<\/a>
\nI emailed news stations about a no cost plan for viewers to help with the hurricanes; global coherence<\/a>
\nMy Facebook posts for the Hurricane Matthew timeline<\/a><\/p>\n

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