Aah Jim, Coastal Storm Expert in Disaster Recovery, Tuesday 2pm update on Hurricane Dorian

Aah Jim is a local coastal storm expert in disaster recovery who researches the hurricanes and gives no nonsense reporting about them in plain language. Read his prior updates for important info about how hurricanes work, i.e. “It doesn’t matter what the top windspeed of a storm is if it stays out in the Atlantic. it does not matter what the wind speed of the narrow eastern eyewall of Dorian is doing if that eyewall is not expected to come close to Florida. No matter how big a hurricane is, once it drives completely up on land it dramatically weakens, it needs to hit a warm open body of water again before it can pose a major threat. “

Jim writes:  This is a quick 2pm update for the Dont Panic Weather Service. Dorian is following its expected track. It should speed up slightly arriving at the predicted time to your city an hr or two early. Still will be wed before it’s past Florida. Wind speeds have dropped slightly. Expect a max sustained wind speed of 30 to 42. Max short gust 65 mph. Storm surge 2 to 7 most in the low range. Stay calm. The light is at the end of the tunnel!

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Andrea’s experiences with hurricanes and tropical storms
After what Hurricane Irma did to the Caribbean, we’ll be fine
Irma may hit near Miami Sunday, near Atlanta Monday 
Here’s what the world’s most accurate weather model predicts for Irma 
Mandatory evacuation, surviving Hurricane Frances, being the Vision Keeper
Be a vision keeper during the hurricanes
The phases of the moon drive hurricane behavior
Don’t add to the fear about hurricanes
Mild winter = mild hurricane season
Remember an active hurricane season doesn’t mean any will make landfall
I emailed news stations about a no cost plan for viewers to help with the hurricanes; global coherence
My Facebook posts for the Hurricane Matthew timeline